Metagraph CapitalInvestment brief · Technical edition · Confidential11 October 2026

Vidaio (SN85)

Vidaio sells AI video compression and upscaling by the minute through a website and an API, and runs a Bittensor subnet whose miners compete every two weeks to supply the models. Its best-known claim is that its files are "up to 80% smaller", restated this week by an investor as "half the size of AWS compression"; the team's own commissioned benchmark (17 Jun 2026) found 7.8–9.7% fewer bits than open-source FFmpeg at the same picture quality, with the cost advantage coming from hitting a quality target in one encode. Revenue is claimed and not evidenced: a credit-billed API, a joint venture with a UK post-production house and one enterprise test are described, but no customer count, usage or dollar figure is published. The token is a claim on $4.43M a year of issuance, 86% of its $5.17M market cap; the owner's account has been a net seller of alpha for the last 30 days.

Market cap$5.17M3,071,932 α at $1.68, block 9,260,910, 11 Oct (chain)
Alpha issued per year$4.43M7,200 α/day at spot; 86% of market cap (chain)
Customer revenueClaimedcredit-billed API and a JV described; no figure; owner net seller −134 τ/30d (taorevenue)
Owner lock4.6%of circulating; 3.7% placed by an outside account, 0.9% by the owner (chain)

In short

Vidaio's best-known claim, files 80% smaller, is not what its own matched-quality benchmark shows

The claims that circulate about Vidaio, who made them, and what the primary source showsChecked 11 Oct 2026 unless dated.
ClaimWho said itWhat the check shows
Files "up to 80% smaller" (elsewhere 95–96%)Revenue Search, Oct 2025; repeated by Stillcore (Jan 2026) and TAO DailyNo baseline or method published. The team's own matched-quality benchmark (next row) shows 7.8–9.7% fewer bits than FFmpeg, so the 80% figure is against something other than a tuned modern encoder
Ranked first for compression efficiency against AWS MediaConvert, Bitmovin and Brightcove; ~$0.067 a minute against up to $2.42; $4k against $145k per 1,000 hours@vidaio_, 17 Jun 2026; TAO Daily, 18 JunCommissioned by Vidaio, firm unnamed, report not linked. 30 clips, AV1 and H.265, three VMAF targets: 7.8% (AV1) and 9.7% (H.265) fewer bits than self-hosted FFmpeg at matched quality; on target in 68% of jobs, within one VMAF point in 95%. The cost gap comes from rivals needing three to five encodes to hit a target, so it compares workflows, not rate cards
"Video files are HALF the size of AWS compression"; could halve Netflix's streaming billMark Jeffrey (Stillcore), 9 Oct 2026, relaying the CEO's Exploit Summit talkTalk not reviewed. The nearest primary is the same June benchmark, where TAO Daily reports AWS's file 90% larger than the FFmpeg baseline at matched VMAF after a single encode. Unresolved
Joint venture with PIP Studios: "a gateway to 50+ major partnerships", Netflix, Amazon, Sony, Universal, Paramount@vidaio_, 28 Apr 2026PIP Studios is a UK audio-post and localisation house (Winnersh, Molinare group); the studios are PIP's clients. Terms undisclosed; revenue split "in proportion to actual usage". PIP's own site does not mention Vidaio or CABIN
CABIN, PIP's AI video platform, is "powered by Vidaio" and showed at IBC Amsterdam@vidaio_, 12 Aug; IBC debrief, 15 SepThe debrief reports seven demos to prospects (a public broadcaster, a film studio, an entertainment franchise, a post house) and six follow-ups; no contract. No PIP-side or IBC-side source found
An enterprise client switched from ElevenLabs after Vidaio scored 82/100 against 52/100 on an English-to-Japanese dub@vidaio_, 4 Aug 2026; TAO Daily adds "hundreds of millions in annual revenue"Vidaio's own QA score on one test; client unnamed; no payment stated
The winning miner "gets a revenue share from Vidaio for as long as that miner's model is used with clients"@vidaio_, 8 Oct 2026The only mechanism in code is the licensing treasury, funded from emission (MINING.md); the whitepaper puts revenue mechanics "out of scope". No share of customer money is coded
"Accelerated revenue and market traction lately"Mark Jeffrey, 8 Oct 2026A relay with no figure; Stillcore's own publications list Vidaio without a position size
Vidaio moved its storage from AWS S3 to Hippius and saved about 50%Hippius blog, 25 Aug 2026Team estimate, no amounts, AWS and Backblaze kept as backups; both companies share an adviser

The product is a credit-billed compression and upscaling API with a post-production channel and no named customer

What Vidaio sells, at what price, and to whomvidaio.io (browser, 11 Oct 2026; products, pricing and blog pages redirect to sign-in), api.vidaio.io/openapi.json, @vidaio_.
ItemDetail
ProductsVideo upscaling (2×/4×) and AI-driven compression, by upload on the site or by URL through the API; live streaming with AI dubbing and subtitles is "coming soon" (the beta streamed the Exploit Summit on 28–29 Sep); dubbing and localisation are sold through PIP Studios as CABIN
How it is billedCredits: the API refuses a job without credits (HTTP 402) and consumes them when the result is fetched. No public price list; the June benchmark priced Vidaio at about $0.067 a delivered minute. The October 2025 plan was about $0.05 a minute at a 75% margin, with enterprise fiat split 75% to miners and 25% to Vidaio; none of that is in the September 2026 whitepaper
Channels"One stack. Five verticals" (18 Aug): PIP (localisation dashboard), Sentinel (own compression tool), Manako (compression embedded on a client's site), Vidaio Enterprise, Vidaio Retail; "PiP and Manako are rolling out"
CustomersNone named. The 4 Aug enterprise test and the IBC prospects are unnamed; PIP's studio clients are PIP's. No usage or revenue figure on the site, API, X, TAO Daily's twenty-plus articles or the podcasts
FinancingDSV Fund OTC purchase, 1 Dec 2025, amount undisclosed (TAO Daily); MEXC listing 6 May 2026; Stillcore covers Vidaio and its partner mined it, no round disclosed. Incubated by the parent company of Taostats (Graichen, Apr 2025)

Eight people are named; two or three commit to the public code

Who builds Vidaio, and how the team size checks against the codevidaio.io team block and X, 11 Oct 2026; GitHub API 11 Oct.
ItemDetail
CompanyNo legal entity named on the site or in UK Companies House ("vidaio": no result). Incubated by Taostats' parent; Marcus Graichen (Taostats, Hippius) is listed as "Angel Advisor" on the site and as co-founder in his own bio
Named people (eight on the site)Gareth Howells, Director and CEO ("25+ years in video operations"); Dr Ahmad Ayad, ML engineer, called CTO by Hippius; Gopi Jayaraman, video technology; "Bruhvatar", subnet developer (ex nineteen.ai); William McCrea, business development and ISO 27001; Chinaza, design; Akin, front end; Graichen, adviser
Team size, checkedThe team has never stated a headcount. Seven people have ever committed to the original repository (one of them 599 of about 760 commits); every 2026 commit to it is by one person. The live code is a mirror of a private repository pushed by two identities since September, so two or three committers are visible in the last 90 days against eight names

At equal picture quality Vidaio saves 8–10% against FFmpeg; its edge is one encode to a target, not file size

Bits saved at the same picture quality: Vidaio's one published benchmark against open-source and commercial encodersThe measure buyers use is bitrate at a fixed VMAF score (Netflix's perceptual metric; about 93 is indistinguishable from the source). Vidaio rows from its 17 Jun 2026 benchmark (commissioned, firm unnamed, 30 clips); other rows from the linked tests.
Encoder or methodCompared withBits saved at equal qualitySource and caveat
Vidaio (AV1)Self-hosted FFmpeg, same codec7.8%Vidaio-commissioned; hit the target in one encode in 68% of jobs
Vidaio (H.265)Self-hosted FFmpeg9.7%Same test
AWS MediaConvert, single encodeSelf-hosted FFmpeg−90% (file larger)TAO Daily, 24 Jun on the same test; AWS was not allowed its usual multi-pass search
Beamr CABR (content-adaptive bitrate)The customer's existing encode30–50% claimedBeamr on AWS Marketplace; vendor claim
Deep Render neural codecSVT-AV145–46%Jan Ozer, May 2025, subjective test; low-latency configuration only
AV1 (any encoder)x265 (H.265)about 35%Streaming Media; the codec step buyers take first

Upscaling has no published head-to-head: the MSU upscaler benchmark lists Topaz and Real-ESRGAN but Vidaio has not entered it, and Vidaio's competitions score entries on its own hidden clips, so quality against Topaz (now Adobe's) is unrated rather than rated and losing.

On list price the cloud encoders are cheaper; Vidaio's pitch is the workflow

What a buyer pays for a minute of HD encoding or upscaling elsewherePrice pages read 11 Oct 2026; Vidaio's figure is the benchmark estimate, as it publishes no price list.
VendorWhat the buyer getsPrice per output minute
VidaioCompression to a VMAF target in one encode; upscaling 2×/4×; credit-billed APIabout $0.067 (benchmark estimate); upscaling not published
AWS Elemental MediaConvertHD AVC single pass $0.024, multi-pass $0.042; HEVC $0.048–0.084; 4K higher$0.024–0.084
BitmovinPer-title encoding, pay as you go after 2,000 free minutes a month$0.02
Google Transcoder APIHD output, any codec$0.030
Beamr CloudContent-adaptive bitrate reduction on AWS$0.04 plus compute
Mux, Coconut, api.videoEncoding bundled with hosting and deliveryfree–$0.031; $0.015
Topaz Video (Adobe) via fal.aiAI upscaling to 720p, 1080p, 4K$0.60–3.60

On rate card Vidaio is two to three times the cloud encoders. Its pitch is that it reaches a quality target in one pass where the others need three to five, which only matters to a buyer who encodes to a VMAF target rather than a preset; the benchmark's $145,000 alternative is that search loop priced at list.

The encoding market is $0.3–2.6B a year and buyers of winners pay $27M to $340M; customers, not size, are the constraint

The market Vidaio sells into, from disclosed-vendor floor to analyst ceiling, and what comparable companies are worthSEC filings, company releases and analyst pages, read 11 Oct 2026; each figure linked.
MeasureFigure
The layerPer-minute cloud video encoding and upscaling sold as an API (the MediaConvert, Transcoder, Bitmovin, Beamr slot), not a hosting platform
Floor: revenue the named encoding vendors discloseAbout $0.32B: Harmonic's video business $190.5M (2024), Ateme €95.6M (2025), Bitmovin "in the twenties" of millions (2024), Beamr $3.1M (2025). AWS and Google do not break out their encoders, so this is a hard floor
Ceiling: video transcoding, software and hardware$2.56B in 2025 (IMARC), 11% a year to 2034; the largest named vendor fits inside it. Platforms that bundle hosting and delivery are a wider $7.5B (MarketsandMarkets), which Vidaio does not sell into
What winning companies are worthTopaz Labs, AI upscaling: bought by Adobe for about $340M (Jun 2026, Adobe 10-Q). Harmonic's video business: $145M cash from MediaKind, 0.76× revenue (Jun 2026). Beamr: $27.5M market cap on $3.1M revenue. Deep Render: $30M (2023). Mux: over $1B (2021). Vimeo $1.38B and Brightcove $233M to Bending Spoons at 3.3× and 1.2× revenue. Apple/WaveOne and Sony/iSIZE undisclosed
Vidaio's issuance against the market$4.43M a year of alpha, about 1.4% of the disclosed floor. Size is not the constraint; a public price, a named paying customer and a usage figure are

Who earns what: every dollar paid on SN85 is new issuance

Who is paid on SN85, for what, and whether any of it is customer moneyChain, block 9,260,910 (11 Oct 2026), alpha $1.68 = 0.00582 τ × Kraken TAO $289.65; 7,200 α issued a day, protocol split 18/41/41. Shares from the epoch 25659 log and the chain's Incentive vector, which match.
WhoWhat they doHow they are paidPer dayCustomer money?
Miners (five paid slots)Enter a sealed code competition every two weeks (compression, upscaling, object removal, now frame interpolation); the latest result's five placed entries share all miner emission for two weeks, 89.55% to the winner. The 73 miners serving everyday compression and upscaling requests earn nothing since 27 SepNew alpha$5.0kNo
Validators and stakers (one paid hotkey)Copy the weight vector that Vidaio's own scoring server publishes each epoch, after checking its hash on chain. The owner's hotkey receives all validator dividends; 25 outside hotkeys delegate through it and earn 30–37% a yearNew alpha$5.0kNo
Vidaio, the subnet owner (coldkey 5GTPB…)Runs the scoring server, the competitions, the website and the API; holds 2.2% of alpha; sold a net 134 τ of alpha in the 30 days to 11 OctThe 18% owner cut in alpha$2.2kNo
Licensing treasury (UID 111)A hotkey the team registered on 6 Oct to pay "licensing fees" to winners whose code runs on the website; it takes 0.5% of miner emission while a result pays and 50% of any gapNew alpha$0.0kNo
Alpha holdersNo buyback, burn-from-revenue or fee sink. 30 days to 11 Oct: owner buys −$38,864 (net sales), burn $14,795 (emission sent to the sink slot, not a purchase), outflow $337,120, team-verified——No

A team-run server scores the miners and validators copy its weights

How the subnet decides who is paid, in its September 2026 designvalidator-vidaio docs/ARCHITECTURE.md and miner-vidaio docs/MINING.md, the whitepaper of 8 Sep 2026, and the public epoch logs; read 11 Oct 2026.
StepWhat happens
ScoringA server run by Vidaio (the "scoring authority") scores miners on CPU with libvmaf and PieAPP and writes one log every 360 blocks (about 72 minutes) to a public bucket on Hippius; it anchors the log's hash on chain
ValidatorsDownload the log, check the hash, and submit the authority's weight vector unchanged. Two "auditors" recompute and report, without affecting weights. In the old design (to August) validators scored miners themselves on synthetic clips
Who earnsSince 27 Sep a competition result pays 100% of miner emission for two weeks: a result over the "crown" bar pays 90/4/3/2/1 to the top five, one under it pays 50/24/13/8/5. Serving everyday requests pays nothing. A gap with no result pays 50% to the burn and 50% to the licensing treasury
Customer jobsRun through a separate gateway "outside the consensus loop" with "no effect on emissions": the token pays for the contest, the website pays (if anything) for the serving

The contest runs every two weeks and pays five places, 90% to the winner

How Vidaio's miner contest worksvidaio.io/competitions (11 Oct 2026 16:06 UTC) and MINING.md; payouts cross-checked against the chain at block 9,260,910.
QuestionAnswer
CadenceA competition every two weeks, each result paying for two weeks. Live: frame interpolation 003b (double the frame rate; speed counts 30% of the score), enrolment closes 16 Oct 14:00 UTC, results not before 20 Oct
Entry costRegistration 0.0005 τ; a stake floor of 500 α (about $840) on the entering hotkey; the miner's own development and GPU time. Entries are private repositories at a pinned commit, run sealed without network on an L40S against 16 hidden clips; commercial licences only
Split, on chainCrown (score at or over the bar, 0.85 here): 90/4/3/2/1 to five places; podium: 50/24/13/8/5. Today UID 202 holds 89.55% for winning object removal 002 (score 0.789 against 28 ranked entries); the licensing treasury takes 0.5%
Miners paid against entriesFive paid of 28 ranked in the last result; three entries so far in the live one. The 73 miners enrolled on the inference tracks (51 compression, 22 upscaling) are paid nothing
Is the winning code published?A crown winner is paid only after its source archive is released, and the results page links one; podium code stays private. The team's premium encoder is "not part of the public build"

Supply side

Miners paid on chain fell from 100 to 6 since 14 Apr

Miner slots (UIDs) validators paid each day, read from chain (latest block 9,248,983); the owner's own key is left out because the chain burns its share. Slots, not companies. About 100 slots were paid until mid-June 2026; the June rule change paid the top five per pool (ten), and since 27 September only the latest competition's five placed entries and the licensing-treasury slot are paid, so the fall tracks the payout rules, not miners leaving: 73 miners are enrolled on the inference tracks and earn nothing.

Crown-winning code is published; the serving stack and premium encoder are not

What is open source, and what Vidaio keeps privateGitHub, 11 Oct 2026.
ComponentPublic?Detail
Original validator and miner codeYes (README says MIT; no licence file)vidaio-subnet/vidaio-subnet, last commit 18 Aug 2026
Live validator, miner and scoring rulesMirror only (MIT)miner-vidaio and validator-vidaio are "release mirror snapshots" of a private repository; the scoring server itself runs only at Vidaio
Crown-winning submissionsYes, after payoutReleased archive required before a crown pays; commercial licence so Vidaio can run it on the website
Podium submissions, premium encoder, website, API, dubbing pipelineNoWhat a customer pays for is the private serving stack plus the licensed winner

Open crown code lets any competitor run the same model; what Vidaio keeps is the serving stack, the licence rights and the PIP channel.

The owner holds 2.2% of alpha, locked a third of it, and sold a net 134 TAO in 30 days

Owner and emission reads, chain, block 9,260,910 (11 Oct 2026)archive.chain.opentensor.ai: SubnetTAO, SubnetAlphaIn/Out, SubnetAlphaOutEmission, SubnetTaoInEmission, OwnerLock, DecayingOwnerLock, LockingColdkeys, OwnerCutAutoLockEnabled, StakeInfo for the owner coldkey; taorevenue 30 days to 11 Oct (team-verified). TAO $289.65, Kraken.
Alpha price and market cap0.00582 τ = $1.68; 3,071,932 α outstanding = $5.17M; 13,643 τ ($3.95M) in the pool
Alpha issued7,200 α/day = $12.1k/day, $4.43M/yr at spot, 86% of market cap; $12.01M since April 2025 at the prices of the time (chart below)
TAO the network injects (its cash cost)6.4 τ/day = $1.9k/day; 0.56% of all subnet TAO inflow, 36th of 93 subnets
The owner coldkey's holding66,813 α = 2.2% of outstanding ($112.5k), nearly all on its own validator hotkey. The account has signed 179 transactions; taorevenue shows it sold a net 134 τ ($38,864) of alpha in the last 30 days
Owner lock113,874 α (3.7% of outstanding) locked permanently to the owner hotkey by an outside account, 5HMtFEQ9…, which holds similar locks on at least eight other subnets; the owner itself placed a decaying lock of 28,480 α (0.9%, about a third of what it holds). Automatic locking of the 18% cut is off
Owner's 18% cut$2.2k/day, $0.80M/yr; against no measured customer revenue. Net insider flow: the cut plus net sales, no verified buyback
The network has issued $12.01M of alpha to SN85 since April 2025 at the prices of the time; the weekly cost peaked at $700.2k in May 2025 and is $73.0k now
Alpha issued each day (SubnetAlphaOutEmission × 7,200) valued at that day's pool price and Kraken TAOUSD close, summed by week; chain samples at the first block of each day from registration (1 Apr 2025) to 9,260,910, the same series as the Vidaio dashboard. Issued 3.85M alpha; 3.07M outstanding, so about 0.78M alpha (20%) has been burned (RecycleOrBurn = Burn), most of it under the March to September 2026 rules that burned up to 80% of miner emission.
$0k$200k$400k$600kJul 25Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26

No customer money reaches the token today

Emission received down 94% in 12 months, to 3.9 τ a day
Revenue proxy, as on the Vidaio dashboard: TAO the network pays into SN85's pool each day (SubnetTaoInEmission × 7,200), chain samples since registration. No customer revenue series exists: vidaio.io, its product dashboard and pricing (sign-in wall), api.vidaio.io (per-key routes only, no totals), the three GitHub repositories, the authority's epoch logs (payouts, not jobs), taorevenue (owner-key buys only, no history) and TAO Daily were checked. Why it is here: the closest on-chain measure of what the subnet is paid, by the network rather than by customers; it follows the pool's share of all alpha prices, not usage. The chain also cuts a subnet's share when its miner pay is burned to an owner UID (MinerBurned gate): from 25 Jun up to 95% was, and moving the sink to a non-owner key on 28 Sep lifted emission from 1.9 to 6.4 τ a day. Chain.
0 τ100 τJul 25Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26
Where $1 of customer spend goes today, and what would have to change for any of it to reach the tokenMechanisms from the whitepaper, MINING.md and the chain; the last column is house judgment.
PartyTodayWhat would change it
VidaioKeeps the credit payment less its serving cost; the 2025 plan to pass 75% of enterprise fiat to miners is not in the 2026 designA published price and a usage figure
MinersEmission only; the "revenue share" announced on 8 Oct is the emission-funded licensing treasuryA fiat licence fee paid to winners, visible in a ledger
Alpha holders$0.00: no buyback, burn-from-revenue or fee sink; the owner account is a net sellerThe promised profit-funded buyback (Jun 2026) executed from an identified wallet, at a stated share of revenue

Vidaio's stated plans

Vidaio's stated plans and their statusvidaio.io, @vidaio_, MINING.md and TAO Daily, read 11 Oct 2026.
PlanSourceStatus
Frame-interpolation competition, then two-week competitions on a rolling calendarcompetitions pageLive; enrolment closes 16 Oct
Licensing treasury paying winners whose code serves the websiteMINING.md, 6 OctRegistered (UID 111); fee rules unpublished
Live streaming with AI dubbing as a productvidaio.io ("coming soon"); @vidaio_Beta used for one conference
Enterprise, Retail, Sentinel and Manako channels@vidaio_, 18 Aug"Rolling out" for PIP and Manako; no customers named since
Profits fund alpha buybacksTAO Daily, 2 JunAnnounced; no wallet, share or purchase
Enterprise fiat split 75/25 with miners; "AlphaBond" lockingRevenue Search, Oct 2025Not in the 2026 whitepaper or code

The plan that matters most to the case is a public price with a usage figure behind it; the buyback is second, and both are promises today.

Bear, base and bull cases

Bear, base and bull cases over the next twelve months, with the evidence that would mark eachHouse judgment.
BearPIP's CABIN stays a demo channel, the API finds no named buyer at $0.067 a minute against $0.02–0.04 list prices, competitions keep paying one winner 90% of a shrinking emission, and the owner keeps selling its cut
BaseA few PIP-sourced localisation jobs and library-compression deals produce real but undisclosed revenue; the licensing treasury pays winners in alpha; the token trades on emission and ecosystem flows with no customer money reaching it
BullA named enterprise or broadcaster contract, a public price card, an independent benchmark that reproduces the one-encode advantage, and the promised profit-funded buyback executed at a stated share of revenue

What would change our mind

Open items